{"id":4719,"date":"2026-11-06T14:18:09","date_gmt":"2026-11-06T13:18:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/clartan.com\/ch-fr\/?p=4719"},"modified":"2026-11-06T14:18:09","modified_gmt":"2026-11-06T13:18:09","slug":"octobre-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/clartan.com\/ch-fr\/actualites\/octobre-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Octobre 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"has-lg-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Au cours du mois d\u2019octobre, les actions europ\u00e9ennes ont eu des performances contrast\u00e9es avec un indice Stoxx Europe 600, bien fourni en soci\u00e9t\u00e9s d\u00e9fensives (consommation de base, pharmacie), qui affiche une hausse de +2,0&nbsp;% tandis que l\u2019Euro Stoxx 50, autre indice de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence du continent et plus pond\u00e9r\u00e9 en soci\u00e9t\u00e9s cycliques (banques, industrielles), baisse de -2,1&nbsp;%. Les bourses am\u00e9ricaines ont vu les valeurs de technologie attaqu\u00e9es avec un Nasdaq qui abandonne -3,7&nbsp;% mais un S&amp;P 500 en hausse de +0,7&nbsp;%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Octobre restera donc comme un mois mouvement\u00e9, avec une tr\u00e8s forte rotation sectorielle et probablement une importante r\u00e9duction de l\u2019effet de levier des gros hedge funds de la place, qui ont entrain\u00e9 des mouvements violents. Entre autres, on notera une forte baisse d\u2019Alphabet, la maison m\u00e8re de Google et un mini-crash d\u2019Intel, le jour de leur publication. Les valeurs li\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019intelligence artificielle sous toutes ses formes (construction de centres de donn\u00e9es, semiconducteurs, h\u00e9bergeurs\u2026) ont \u00e9t\u00e9 durement attaqu\u00e9es. Les investisseurs semblent en effet \u00eatre tr\u00e8s inquiets du pic possible du cycle d\u2019investissement dans ce domaine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Il faut reconna\u00eetre que les augmentations de budget li\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019IA depuis 4 ans ont \u00e9t\u00e9 absolument \u00e9poustouflantes et qu\u2019il n\u2019est pas du tout ill\u00e9gitime de craindre un retournement, ou pour le dire autrement le d\u00e9gonflement d\u2019une bulle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le mouvement de panique a commenc\u00e9 d\u00e9but octobre lorsque des acteurs marginaux du Cloud, surnomm\u00e9s \u00ab&nbsp;NeoCloud&nbsp;\u00bb dans notre jargon, ont tent\u00e9 d\u2019\u00e9mettre de la dette sur les march\u00e9s et se sont vite rendus compte que l\u2019accueil qui leur avait \u00e9t\u00e9 fait \u00e9tait absolument glacial. CoreWeave, leur t\u00eate de gondole, a alors vu sa dette fortement attaqu\u00e9e. Or, ses plans d\u2019investissement d\u2019ici \u00e0 la fin de la d\u00e9cennie sont si ambitieux qu\u2019elle a absolument besoin d\u2019un acc\u00e8s sans restriction au march\u00e9 obligataire pour financer ses travaux. De l\u00e0 \u00e0 conclure que la vague de construction de centres de donn\u00e9es allait s\u2019arr\u00eater brutalement, il n\u2019y avait qu\u2019un pas que le march\u00e9 s\u2019est empress\u00e9 de franchir all\u00e8grement sans plus y penser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les publications en fin de mois des acteurs de premier plan du secteur, Alphabet, Microsoft ou encore Amazon, ont \u00e9t\u00e9 scrut\u00e9es et sanctionn\u00e9es \u00e0 la vue du moindre petit grain de sable. Pourtant, il ressort d\u2019une \u00e9tude minutieuse des chiffres que les activit\u00e9s li\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019IA ne d\u00e9\u00e7oivent pas, bien au contraire. Ce sont plut\u00f4t les activit\u00e9s historiques, commerce en ligne pour Amazon ou publicit\u00e9 li\u00e9e au moteur de recherche pour Google, qui marquent le coup, soit \u00e0 cause d\u2019une faiblesse du consommateur, soit par effet de substitution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nous pensons donc que le march\u00e9 est peut-\u00eatre all\u00e9 un peu vite en besogne en br\u00fblant ce qu\u2019il a ador\u00e9 depuis 4 ans et en adorant ce qu\u2019il avait si longtemps br\u00fbl\u00e9. Nous avons ainsi d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de conserver pour le moment nos positions dans ce secteur, qui avaient n\u00e9anmoins \u00e9t\u00e9 ramen\u00e9es \u00e0 des volumes raisonnables il y a d\u00e9j\u00e0 plusieurs mois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u2019autre sujet de pr\u00e9occupation des march\u00e9s reste la menace d\u2019une nouvelle escalade dans le Golfe persique et la hausse des prix de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, p\u00e9trole et gaz, qui est son corollaire. Nous persistons l\u00e0 aussi \u00e0 penser que le pire n\u2019est pas toujours s\u00fbr, les deux parties sachant qu\u2019elles ne gagneront rien \u00e0 une escalade incontr\u00f4l\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Les fonds Clartan ont eu des performances contrast\u00e9es ce mois-ci avec les fonds d\u00e9fensifs qui tirent naturellement leur \u00e9pingle du jeu&nbsp;: Valeurs baisse de -1,7&nbsp;%, Europe de -0,7&nbsp;%, Ethos monte de +1,2&nbsp;%, Flexible de +3,1&nbsp;%, Patrimoine de +1,5% et Multimanagers baisse de -0,5&nbsp;%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-sm-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/clartan.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Rapport-mensuel-2026-10-FR.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Rapport mensuel<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Disclaimer<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cette communication est \u00e0 caract\u00e8re publicitaire. L&rsquo;investissement dans des Organismes de Placement Collectifs en Valeurs Mobili\u00e8res (OPCVM) comporte des risques, dont un risque de perte en capital. Avant toute souscription, consultez le DIC et le prospectus disponibles sur&nbsp;clartan.com.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Les performances pass\u00e9es ne pr\u00e9jugent pas des performances futures.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La r\u00e9f\u00e9rence \u00e0 certaines valeurs boursi\u00e8res est donn\u00e9e \u00e0 titre d&rsquo;illustration et ne constitue pas une recommandation d&rsquo;investissement.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Clartan Associ\u00e9s est une soci\u00e9t\u00e9 de gestion agr\u00e9\u00e9e par l&rsquo;AMF sous le num\u00e9ro GP-90095.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Au cours du mois d\u2019octobre, les actions europ\u00e9ennes ont eu des performances contrast\u00e9es avec un indice Stoxx Europe 600, bien fourni en soci\u00e9t\u00e9s d\u00e9fensives (consommation de base, pharmacie), qui affiche une hausse de +2,0\u00a0% tandis que l\u2019Euro Stoxx 50, autre indice de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence du continent et plus pond\u00e9r\u00e9 en soci\u00e9t\u00e9s cycliques (banques, industrielles), baisse de -2,1\u00a0%. Les bourses am\u00e9ricaines ont vu les valeurs de technologie attaqu\u00e9es avec un Nasdaq qui abandonne -3,7\u00a0% mais un S&amp;P 500 en hausse de +0,7\u00a0%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":4422,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4719","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites","category-edito"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.2 (Yoast SEO v28.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Octobre 2026 - Clartan Associ\u00e9s<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/clartan.com\/ch-fr\/actualites\/octobre-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Octobre 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Au cours du mois d\u2019octobre, les actions europ\u00e9ennes ont eu des performances contrast\u00e9es avec un indice Stoxx Europe 600, bien fourni en soci\u00e9t\u00e9s d\u00e9fensives (consommation de base, pharmacie), qui affiche une hausse de +2,0\u00a0% tandis que l\u2019Euro Stoxx 50, autre indice de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence du continent et plus pond\u00e9r\u00e9 en soci\u00e9t\u00e9s cycliques (banques, industrielles), baisse de -2,1\u00a0%. 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